10 Stocks At the Highs, 10 Stocks at the Lows

Many people believe things about stocks and the stock market that simply aren’t true. For example, some people believe that the biggest, most expensive companies in America must also have the best, safest stocks.

As it turns out, however, if you’d bought the biggest and “best” stocks near the top of the market, you’d have fared pretty badly, even after 10 years:

  3/1/2000 3/1/2001 1 Year Change 3/1/2002 2 Year Change 3/1/2005 5 Year Change 3/1/2010 10 Year Change
MSFT $45.49 $29.68 -35% $30.69 -33% $25.28 -44% $29.02 -36%
CSCO $66.50 $24.50 -63% $14.85 -78% $17.50 -74% $24.60 -63%
GE $43.79 $45.91 5% $39.45 -10% $35.22 -20% $15.90 -64%
INTC $58.19 $29.13 -50% $30.98 -47% $24.62 -58% $20.87 -64%
ORCL $35.75 $21.38 -40% $15.99 -55% $13.15 -63% $24.74 -31%
IBM $100.44 $106.05 6% $103.02 3% $93.30 -7% $128.57 28%
T $42.00 $45.50 8% $39.00 -7% $24.32 -42% $25.00 -40%
TXN $82.00 $32.40 -60% $31.50 -62% $27.15 -67% $24.63 -70%
MRK $56.85 $75.48 33% $59.61 5% $32.13 -43% $37.27 -34%
TWX $170.81 $132.00 -23% $77.94 -54% $52.77 -69% $29.60 -83%
Average     -22%   -34%   -49%   -46%

 

  10/1/2007 10/1/2008 1 Year Change 10/1/2009 2 Year Change 10/1/2012 5 Year Change 10/1/2017 10 Year Change
XOM $93.95 $78.58 -16.4% $67.27 -28.4% $91.80 -2.3% $81.98 -12.7%
GE $42.02 $24.50 -41.7% $15.97 -62.0% $22.81 -45.7% $24.18 -42.5%
MSFT $29.77 $26.48 -11.1% $24.88 -16.4% $29.49 -0.9% $74.49 150.2%
T $42.23 $28.09 -33.5% $26.61 -37.0% $37.75 -10.6% $39.17 -7.2%
C $477.20 $230.00 -51.8% $45.30 -90.5% $32.75 -93.1% $72.65 -84.8%
BAC $50.64 $38.13 -24.7% $16.21 -68.0% $8.96 -82.3% $25.34 -50.0%
PG $70.91 $71.27 0.5% $56.62 -20.2% $69.45 -2.1% $90.98 28.3%
CSCO $32.99 $21.95 -33.5% $23.09 -30.0% $19.04 -42.3% $33.63 1.9%
CVX $94.44 $82.20 -13.0% $68.81 -27.1% $117.25 24.2% $117.50 24.4%
JNJ $66.14 $67.79 2.5% $59.81 -9.6% $69.13 4.5% $130.01 96.6%
Average     -22.3%   -38.9%   -25.1%   10.4%

 

If instead you’d waited to buy until the market bottomed out, you’d have done a lot better:

  10/9/2002 10/9/2003 1 Year Change 10/9/2004 2 Year Change 10/9/2007 5 Year Change 10/9/2012 10 Year Change
MSFT $22.00 $28.94 32% $27.99 27% $30.10 37% $29.28 33%
WMT $50.74 $58.96 16% $52.85 4% $45.21 -11% $74.14 46%
XOM $32.83 $37.95 16% $49.84 52% $92.67 182% $92.13 181%
GE $22.00 $30.13 37% $33.74 53% $42.02 91% $22.62 3%
PFE $29.25 $30.96 6% $29.80 2% $25.54 -13% $25.31 -13%
JNJ $56.20 $49.39 -12% $55.32 -2% $66.25 18% $68.41 22%
C $268.90 $478.80 78% $445.60 66% $476.20 77% $34.60 -87%
KO $25.82 $21.97 -15% $20.00 -23% $28.94 12% $38.56 49%
AIG $881.10 $1,019.66 16% $1,120.86 27% $1,174.64 33% $35.45 -96%
PG $44.10 $47.50 8% $53.45 21% $71.08 61% $68.70 56%
Average     18%   23%   49%   19%

 

  3/6/2009 3/6/2010 1 Year Change 3/6/2011 2 Year Change 3/6/2014 5 Year Change 4/6/2018 9 Year, 1 Month Change
XOM $64.03 $66.47 4% $85.08 33% $93.76 46% $74.86 17%
WMT $48.91 $54.14 11% $52.07 6% $74.88 53% $86.89 78%
MSFT $15.28 $28.59 87% $25.95 70% $38.15 150% $90.20 490%
PG $45.71 $63.69 39% $62.03 36% $78.06 71% $78.43 72%
T $22.58 $24.99 11% $27.92 24% $32.34 43% $35.85 59%
JNJ $47.97 $64.04 34% $61.06 27% $92.89 94% $127.98 167%
CVX $58.27 $74.30 28% $103.75 78% $114.85 97% $114.79 97%
IBM $85.81 $127.25 48% $161.83 89% $187.64 119% $150.50 75%
BRK.A $73,195 $125,000 71% $128,200 75% $182,175 149% $293,940 302%
GOOGL $154.29 $282.11 83% $300.31 95% $609.81 295% $1,010.50 555%
Average     41%   53%   112%   191%

 

By | 2018-04-06T21:33:02+00:00 April 6th, 2018|Market Risk|0 Comments